The Fed Kept Rates Unchanged, But an Industry Veteran Says 'Mortgage Rates Will Drop.' Here's Why. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the Fed was taking a "wait and see" approach.

By Sherin Shibu Edited by Melissa Malamut

Key Takeaways

  • Federal Reserve officials left the federal funds rate unchanged on Wednesday — the range is still 4.25% to 4.5%.
  • Melissa Cohn, regional vice president of William Raveis Mortgage, predicted that mortgage rates would decline this week following the news.

Federal Reserve policymakers announced that they were holding the federal funds rate steady after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday. The target range remains unchanged at 4.25% to 4.5%.

The last time the FOMC cut rates was at its December meeting, when it lowered the target range by 25 basis points, or 0.25%.

The federal funds rate is the borrowing rate that banks charge each other for loans. A lower rate ripples out to lower borrowing costs on credit cards and personal loans, though banks individually choose how to respond to rate changes. The average credit card interest rate is currently around 21%, while car loan rates for new vehicles are around 6%.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said at a news conference following the FOMC meeting that inflation, which was at an annual rate of 2.4% in March, was still above its 2% target and that the Fed was taking a "wait and see" approach to its monetary policy adjustments.

Related: Core Inflation Is at Its Lowest Level in 4 Years — But Will the Fed Cut Rates? Experts Expect the Agency to 'Stay Humble and Data-Dependent'

"There's just so much that we don't know, I think, and we're in a good position to wait and see, is the thing," Powell stated at the news conference. "We don't have to be in a hurry. The economy is resilient and doing fairly well."

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

Industry experts aren't surprised. Ed Yardeni, head of Yardeni Research consultancy, told NBC News that the best thing for the Fed to do was to wait and see if inflation or unemployment poses more of a problem down the line.

"The evidence so far is that, for now, it's likely to be more of a cost problem than a labor market problem," Yardeni told the outlet.

Related: Are Amazon's Prices Going Up? Here's How the Company's CEO Answered Questions About Tariffs.

Last month, President Donald Trump levied a 10% tariff on all trading partners and a tariff as high as 145% on China that could affect consumer prices.

Powell noted at the news conference that there was "a great deal of uncertainty" about tariff policies and stated that the Fed would carefully monitor the effects of tariffs on inflation and unemployment.

The next meeting is on June 17 and 18, and experts are already expecting the Fed to keep rates steady. Barclays estimates that the Fed will keep rates the same in June and make its first rate cut in July, while Morgan Stanley anticipates no rate cuts this year, per USA Today.

What does the Fed's decision mean for mortgage rates?

Melissa Cohn, regional vice president of William Raveis Mortgage, told Entrepreneur in an email that she predicts mortgage rates should lower this week because the Fed decided to hold rates steady.

"Mortgage rates will drop a bit this week as bonds have cheered the Fed's decision to leave rates alone," Cohn stated.

Cohn also noted that May would be "a very telling month" as the Fed gets a better idea of the impact of tariffs on the economy.

"Now, it's back to data-watching and, of course, to see where the tariff negotiations end up," Cohn stated.

Sherin Shibu

Entrepreneur Staff

News Reporter

Sherin Shibu is a business news reporter at Entrepreneur.com. She previously worked for PCMag, Business Insider, The Messenger, and ZDNET as a reporter and copyeditor. Her areas of coverage encompass tech, business, strategy, finance, and even space. She is a Columbia University graduate.

Want to be an Entrepreneur Leadership Network contributor? Apply now to join.

Starting a Business

These College Friends Started a Side Hustle Out of 'Sheer Frustration.' It Did $1 Million in the First 9 Months and $20 Million in Year 4.

Courtney Toll and Annabel Love came up with their business idea during summer internships in college.

Business News

IBM Replaced Hundreds of HR Workers With AI, According to Its CEO

IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said the move led to more hiring in other areas.

Business Ideas

70 Small Business Ideas to Start in 2025

We put together a list of the best, most profitable small business ideas for entrepreneurs to pursue in 2025.

Science & Technology

Your Company's AI Strategy Is Probably Backwards. Here's Why — and How to Fix It.

Stop chasing AI solutions for problems you don't have.

Buying / Investing in Business

Former Zillow Execs Target $1.3T Market

Co-ownership is creating big opportunities for entrepreneurs.

OSZAR »